“Cuomo Closing In, But Mamdani Still Holds — Is the Race Tightening?” Hook: The veteran is gaining — is it enough to catch the youthful insurgent? CTA: “Check the swing in the polls and what it means for Nov 4.”

Who’s ahead in NYC mayoral election? Latest polls, odds in Mamdani, Cuomo, Sliwa mayor race

New York City’s mayoral race is heating up as the candidates try to rally more voters and sway the undecided toward next week’s Election Day polls. Here’s the latest polling numbers and the winning odds.

In the past month’s worth of polls, Democrat Zohran Mamdani remains in the lead, however the lead has continued to shrink week to week as Independent Andrew Cuomo and Republican Curtis Sliwa have been gaining ground to replace incumbent Mayor Eric Adams.

In the latest Quinnipiac poll, Mamdani leads with 43% support among likely voters, Cuomo receives 33%, Sliwa receives 14%, and 6% were undecided, while 3% refused to respond.

According to the Quinnipiac University Poll Assistant Director Mary Snow, she said “The candidates have made their case, early voting is underway, Zohran Mamdani has a 10-point lead over Andrew Cuomo with Curtis Sliwa a distant third, but one wildcard remains. The percentage of likely voters not weighing in has increased a bit since earlier this month, suggesting there’s room for movement in the final stretch.”

Here is what the polls, odds say now as we head into Election Day on Tuesday, Nov. 4.

Who is leading in the polls for NYC mayor and favored by the odds now?
Hill/Emerson poll ending Oct. 28, shows Mamdani leading with 50% responding they’d vote for him, compared to Cuomo at 25% and Sliwa at 21%. The poll found the top issue for voters facing the United States, was 30% find threats to democracy to be most important, 25% the economy, and 14% housing affordability.
Fox News poll ending Oct. 28, shows Mamdani leading with 47% in the polling, Cuomo with 31% and Sliwa with 15%.
Marist poll ending Oct. 28, shows Mamdani leading with 48% responding they’d vote for him, compared to Cuomo at 32% and Sliwa at 16% and 3% undecided. The poll also found that 66% of likely voters feel things in New York City are going in the wrong direction. Though 31% think they are moving in the right one.
RealClearPolling, which encompasses the average of over 10 different pollsters, including those above, show Mamdani leading with 46.0% support, compared to Cuomo at 30.5% and Sliwa at 16.6%.
Polymarket, a crypto-trading platform is expressing growing odds by the betting public, in favor of Mamdani at 94% over Cuomo at 6% and Sliwa getting less than 1%.
Polls and odds are constantly changing. These numbers were reflected as of Friday, Oct. 31, 2025, at 12 p.m.

Maria Francis is a Pennsylvania-based journalist who covers trending topics across the Mid-Atlantic region.